BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieShorebirds

Killdeer in Shortgrass Prairie has held roughly steady: up 2% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+2%Since 1969
137Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Killdeer in Shortgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 26% by 2029 — from 4.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.0 (95% range 2.6–9.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±59%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+26%Change by 2029
6.0Projected 2029 index
2.6–9.495% range
±59%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.12.79.5
20266.12.79.5
20276.12.79.5
20286.12.79.5
20296.02.69.4

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Killdeer in Shortgrass Prairie.
PlymellKANSAS432024
PaxtonNEBRASKA302016
WakaTEXAS282024
Doyle BridgeCOLORADO271997
KirkCOLORADO172023
HookerOKLAHOMA172024
NunnCOLORADO152021
JulesburgCOLORADO152021
HudsonCOLORADO142024
Fort MorganCOLORADO142024
Hay SpringsNEBRASKA142024
ClaytonvilleTEXAS142022
PanhandleTEXAS132024
YoderWYOMING132024
PinneoCOLORADO122019
Mica ButteCOLORADO121987
TwichellTEXAS122023
LingleWYOMING122024
Murray LakeNEBRASKA112024
ChampionNEBRASKA112018
GroverCOLORADO102024
BrownsonNEBRASKA102021
HardestyOKLAHOMA102024
FrionaTEXAS102024
GruverTEXAS102024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.