Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Killdeer In Atlantic Northern Forest
Killdeer in Atlantic Northern Forest has collapsed: down 90% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-90%Since 1968
133Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Killdeer has collapsed in Atlantic Northern Forest: down 90% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.95). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.9595% range
±37.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.95 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.95 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.95 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.95 |
Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest
| Grnd Lk Strm | MAINE | 7 | 1993 |
| Petersburg | NEW-YORK | 6 | 2012 |
| Hope Falls | NEW-YORK | 6 | 1994 |
| Waterville | VERMONT | 6 | 1980 |
| Eastbrook | MAINE | 5 | 1996 |
| Hancock | MAINE | 5 | 1995 |
| Boundary | MAINE | 5 | 2016 |
| Turner | MAINE | 4 | 2010 |
| Benton | MAINE | 4 | 1980 |
| Highmarket | NEW-YORK | 4 | 2024 |
| Number Four | NEW-YORK | 4 | 2014 |
| North River | NEW-YORK | 4 | 2002 |
| Tupper Lake | NEW-YORK | 4 | 1972 |
| Dannemora | NEW-YORK | 4 | 1978 |
| Westbrook | MAINE | 3 | 2009 |
| Deblois | MAINE | 3 | 1999 |
| Charleston | MAINE | 3 | 2004 |
| Ft Fairfield | MAINE | 3 | 2005 |
| St David | MAINE | 3 | 2005 |
| Searsport | MAINE | 3 | 2024 |
| Kasoag | NEW-YORK | 3 | 2018 |
| S Wallingfrd | VERMONT | 3 | 2013 |
| Middlesex | VERMONT | 3 | 2019 |
| Newcastle | MAINE | 2 | 2001 |
| Otisfield Gr | MAINE | 2 | 2015 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.