BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Kentucky Warbler In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyForest birds

Kentucky Warbler in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has held roughly steady: down 8% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-8%Since 1969
50Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Kentucky Warbler in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Kentucky Warbler in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 192% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.97 (95% range 0.00–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±203.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+192%Change by 2029
0.97Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.095% range
±203.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.950.001.9
20260.960.001.9
20270.960.001.9
20280.970.001.9
20290.970.002.0

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Kentucky Warbler in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Delta N.F.MISSISSIPPI102018
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS92024
Tensas NwrLOUISIANA62017
GonzalesLOUISIANA52015
AtchafalayaLOUISIANA52023
BardwellKENTUCKY32003
FrogmoreLOUISIANA32023
SaffellARKANSAS22017
MaynardARKANSAS21997
EnglandARKANSAS22010
ShawLOUISIANA22018
MayflowerLOUISIANA22016
RayvilleLOUISIANA22008
ConcordLOUISIANA22009
Port AllenLOUISIANA22009
TchulaMISSISSIPPI21975
WintervilleMISSISSIPPI22011
Eagle LakeMISSISSIPPI22012
Warren VickMISSISSIPPI22022
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI22022
EudoraARKANSAS12010
HughesARKANSAS11967
South BendARKANSAS12003
HarrisburgARKANSAS12006
AugustaARKANSAS12000

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.