BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Kentucky Warbler In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Kentucky Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has declined: down 34% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-34%Since 1969
109Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Kentucky Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Kentucky Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.6 (95% range 1.6–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-9%Change by 2029
2.6Projected 2029 index
1.6–3.695% range
±8.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.71.73.7
20262.71.73.6
20272.61.73.6
20282.61.63.6
20292.61.63.6

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Kentucky Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
PoyenARKANSAS152007
Turkey CreekLOUISIANA151998
Four LakesARKANSAS112001
Mount UnionLOUISIANA112024
NanceARKANSAS92024
Hatfield 2ARKANSAS92024
WomackLOUISIANA92024
PrincetonARKANSAS82014
Magazine MtnARKANSAS82021
EnterpriseLOUISIANA82024
Hee MountainOKLAHOMA82024
CrowsARKANSAS71991
EastonLOUISIANA71990
OakdaleLOUISIANA71994
Ivan 2LOUISIANA72016
Old MiloARKANSAS62024
MarionLOUISIANA61996
GoodwillLOUISIANA62024
EvelynLOUISIANA62023
HopeARKANSAS52024
AshdownARKANSAS52023
Poyen 2ARKANSAS52024
Princeton 2ARKANSAS52022
IvanLOUISIANA52013
GraysonLOUISIANA52021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.