Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Indigo Bunting In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Indigo Bunting in Tamaulipan Brushlands has fallen sharply: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
-64%Since 1971
15Routes In Region
23Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Indigo Bunting has fallen sharply in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Indigo Bunting in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.13 (95% range 0.00–0.43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-22%Change by 2029
0.13Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4395% range
±40.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| 2026 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| 2027 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| 2028 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.43 |
| 2029 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.43 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Millett | TEXAS | 6 | 2012 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 3 | 2000 |
| Catarina 3 | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Laredo | TEXAS | 2 | 2013 |
| Cavasara Cr. | TEXAS | 2 | 1998 |
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 1 | 1984 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 1 | 1981 |
| George West | TEXAS | 1 | 1974 |
| La Pryor | TEXAS | 1 | 2003 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 1 | 2022 |
| El Indio | TEXAS | 1 | 1971 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 1 | 1998 |
| Dilley | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Guerra | TEXAS | 1 | 1998 |
| Progreso | TEXAS | 1 | 2005 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.