Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Indigo Bunting In Chihuahuan Desert
Indigo Bunting in Chihuahuan Desert has fallen sharply: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
-66%Since 1992
12Routes In Region
19Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Indigo Bunting has fallen sharply in Chihuahuan Desert: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Indigo Bunting in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to stay roughly flat through 2026, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.04). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2026
0.01Projected 2026 index
0.00–0.0495% range
±52.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| 2023 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| 2024 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| 2025 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 2026 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
Routes In Chihuahuan Desert
| Red Rock | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2002 |
| Carrizozo | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 1998 |
| Gage | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2009 |
| Cloudcroft | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2007 |
| Rodeo | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2021 |
| Laborcita | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 1992 |
| Bitter Lake | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2005 |
| Mesilla | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 1996 |
| Hatchet Peak | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2009 |
| Columbus | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2016 |
| Lake Valley | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2004 |
| Toyahvale | TEXAS | 1 | 1998 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.