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Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Indigo Bunting In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Indigo Bunting in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has held roughly steady: up 6% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+6%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
71Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Indigo Bunting in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

Indigo Bunting In Mississippi Alluvial Valley Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Indigo Bunting in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 27 (95% range 16–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-7%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
27Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
16–3795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Indigo Bunting in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 27 (95% range 16–37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025271637
2026271637
2027271637
2028271637
2029271637

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Indigo Bunting in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
DundeeMISSISSIPPI1092022
Panther Swamp NwrMISSISSIPPI742018
TallahatchieMISSISSIPPI732024
HughesARKANSAS662023
MaynardARKANSAS632024
DeventerMISSOURI632024
South BendARKANSAS622023
Tensas NwrLOUISIANA602024
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI552024
Augusta 2ARKANSAS542016
FrogmoreLOUISIANA542024
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY502024
Warren VickMISSISSIPPI502022
Pawpaw 2TENNESSEE502023
ShawLOUISIANA482024
MayflowerLOUISIANA442024
TiptonvilleTENNESSEE442023
Delta N.F.MISSISSIPPI432021
Dahomey NwrMISSISSIPPI422024
BardwellKENTUCKY412003
Eagle LakeMISSISSIPPI412024
PawpawTENNESSEE402012
TippoMISSISSIPPI382024
EnglandARKANSAS362024
TchulaMISSISSIPPI361975

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.