Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Indigo Bunting In Oaks and Prairies
Indigo Bunting in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+76%Since 1969
63Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Indigo Bunting has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 75% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Indigo Bunting in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 5.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.9 (95% range 4.2–9.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+27%Change by 2029
6.9Projected 2029 index
4.2–9.795% range
±30.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 9.4 |
| 2026 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 9.5 |
| 2027 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 9.5 |
| 2028 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 9.6 |
| 2029 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 9.7 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Holdenville | OKLAHOMA | 45 | 2024 |
| Heyburn | OKLAHOMA | 41 | 2024 |
| Lydia | TEXAS | 37 | 2023 |
| Beggs | OKLAHOMA | 29 | 2023 |
| Tatums | OKLAHOMA | 22 | 2024 |
| Choctaw | OKLAHOMA | 21 | 2023 |
| Noble | OKLAHOMA | 20 | 2024 |
| Gambill Ref. | TEXAS | 18 | 2024 |
| Cayuga | TEXAS | 13 | 2024 |
| Greenville | TEXAS | 12 | 2024 |
| Bartlesville | OKLAHOMA | 10 | 2024 |
| Mill Creek | OKLAHOMA | 9 | 2018 |
| Skiatook | OKLAHOMA | 9 | 2019 |
| Dike | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Blue Ridge | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Wills Point | TEXAS | 7 | 2023 |
| Barnsdall | OKLAHOMA | 6 | 1977 |
| Massey Lake | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Sadler | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Thornton 3 | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Dallas | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Albany | TEXAS | 5 | 2010 |
| Miller Grove | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Rhome | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Megargel | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.