BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

House Finch In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontGeneralists

House Finch in Piedmont has surged: up 74× on the route-weighted index since 1977.

74×Since 1977TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
162Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
49YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

House Finch has surged in Piedmont: up 74× on the route-weighted index since 1977.

House Finch In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Piedmont is projected to rise about 36% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 4.9–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+36%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
15Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.9–2595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±56.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Piedmont is projected to rise about 36% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 4.9–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025144.224
2026144.424
2027144.524
2028154.725
2029154.925

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording House Finch in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
West GrovePENNSYLVANIA611996
GatchelvillePENNSYLVANIA541990
Silver SpgMARYLAND531989
OlneyMARYLAND442024
EkloMARYLAND432018
AkronPENNSYLVANIA411997
EarltonMARYLAND402024
Good HopeGEORGIA392024
Barton CreekSOUTH-CAROLINA372022
IjamsvilleMARYLAND342024
MadonnaMARYLAND342022
AspersPENNSYLVANIA341989
Mt GretnaPENNSYLVANIA322000
LeolaPENNSYLVANIA322024
Mt Gretna 2PENNSYLVANIA302022
JacobusPENNSYLVANIA302024
StockbridgeGEORGIA292023
PottstownPENNSYLVANIA291987
ClimaxNORTH-CAROLINA282024
HiramGEORGIA262018
WoodstockGEORGIA262021
Pleasant ValMARYLAND262024
WheatonMARYLAND262024
LabottPENNSYLVANIA261983
CandlerGEORGIA252024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.