Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
House Finch In Sierra Nevada
House Finch in Sierra Nevada has fallen sharply: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-71%Since 1970
26Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
House Finch has fallen sharply in Sierra Nevada: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Sierra Nevada is projected to fall about 68% by 2029 — from 2.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.92 (95% range 0.00–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-68%Change by 2029
0.92Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.495% range
±54.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 4.6 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 4.6 |
| 2027 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 4.5 |
| 2028 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 4.5 |
| 2029 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 4.4 |
Routes In Sierra Nevada
| Higgins Corn | CALIFORNIA | 44 | 2024 |
| Silver City | CALIFORNIA | 25 | 2013 |
| Kernville | CALIFORNIA | 16 | 2008 |
| Bass Lake | CALIFORNIA | 13 | 2019 |
| Greenhorn Mt | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2008 |
| Coulterville | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2017 |
| Woodfords | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Paxton | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2012 |
| Chilcoot | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2023 |
| Lassen Park | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 1980 |
| Kings Canyon | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 1990 |
| Pine Mountain | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2017 |
| Eagle Lake | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1980 |
| Sattley | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Lakeshore | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Wawona | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Cottage Spgs | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1974 |
| Dardanelle | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1994 |
| Tuolumne Grove | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1984 |
| Genesee | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2023 |
| Downieville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2019 |
| Riverton | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2015 |
| Forest Hill | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Pollock Pines | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2023 |
| Crestview | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.