Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
House Finch In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
House Finch in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1979.
13×Since 1979
80Routes In Region
47Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
House Finch has surged in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1979.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 5.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.5 (95% range 0.00–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±65.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+17%Change by 2029
6.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–2195% range
±65.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 22 |
| 2026 | 6.9 | 0.00 | 22 |
| 2027 | 6.8 | 0.00 | 22 |
| 2028 | 6.6 | 0.00 | 22 |
| 2029 | 6.5 | 0.00 | 21 |
Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
| Garrettsvile | OHIO | 76 | 1991 |
| New Somerset | OHIO | 41 | 1993 |
| Ballston Lk | NEW-YORK | 36 | 1995 |
| Slippery Rk | PENNSYLVANIA | 30 | 1994 |
| Strongsville | OHIO | 26 | 1995 |
| Naples | NEW-YORK | 23 | 2024 |
| Penfield | NEW-YORK | 21 | 2024 |
| Hiram | OHIO | 21 | 2021 |
| Lucerne | OHIO | 20 | 2024 |
| Macdougall | NEW-YORK | 18 | 2024 |
| Hinesburg | VERMONT | 15 | 1994 |
| Crescent | NEW-YORK | 11 | 2024 |
| Lattasburg | OHIO | 11 | 2024 |
| Valley City | OHIO | 11 | 2024 |
| Ghent | NEW-YORK | 10 | 2024 |
| Branchport | NEW-YORK | 10 | 2024 |
| Middlefield | OHIO | 10 | 2017 |
| Harmonsburg | PENNSYLVANIA | 10 | 2023 |
| Rushville | NEW-YORK | 9 | 2024 |
| Churchville | NEW-YORK | 9 | 2024 |
| Espyville | PENNSYLVANIA | 9 | 2024 |
| Sugar Grove | PENNSYLVANIA | 9 | 2024 |
| Hamburg | NEW-YORK | 8 | 2024 |
| St Johnsburg | NEW-YORK | 8 | 2024 |
| Pittsfield | OHIO | 8 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.