BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hermit Thrush In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainForest birds

Hermit Thrush in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has held roughly steady: up 2% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+2%Since 1968
51Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Hermit Thrush in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Hermit Thrush in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to rise about 114% by 2029 — from 0.25 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.53 (95% range 0.09–0.98). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±65.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+114%Change by 2029
0.53Projected 2029 index
0.09–0.9895% range
±65.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.520.080.97
20260.530.080.97
20270.530.090.97
20280.530.090.97
20290.530.090.98

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Hermit Thrush in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
BalmatNEW-YORK112008
ParishvilleNEW-YORK102024
HopkintonNEW-YORK62021
N WilmurtNEW-YORK51998
OneidaNEW-YORK41997
EllenburgNEW-YORK42005
Sugar GrovePENNSYLVANIA42023
North PownalVERMONT32011
BristolVERMONT31996
AusterlitzNEW-YORK22007
BranchportNEW-YORK22011
Cherry HillNEW-YORK21981
ClintonNEW-YORK21992
West BangorNEW-YORK21999
WillsboroNEW-YORK22024
Herner CrnsOHIO22002
ShaftsburyVERMONT22010
HinesburgVERMONT21992
RhinebeckNEW-YORK12006
HighlandNEW-YORK11969
W ShokanNEW-YORK12019
CatskillsNEW-YORK12005
GhentNEW-YORK12022
Ballston LkNEW-YORK11995
DuanesburgNEW-YORK11988

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.