BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Green Jay Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

Green Jay in Texas has surged: up 634% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+634%Since 1970
37Routes In State
56Years

Notable Green Jay Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Green Jay has surged in Texas: up 634% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Green Jay Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Green Jay in Texas is projected to rise about 45% by 2029 — from 0.25 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.36 (95% range 0.17–0.55). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+45%Change by 2029
0.36Projected 2029 index
0.17–0.5595% range
±34.6%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.330.140.52
20260.340.150.53
20270.340.160.53
20280.350.160.54
20290.360.170.55

Green Jay Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Green Jay in Texas.
Cavasara Cr.1220232007
Guerra1120231988
Agua Nueva920231972
San Pedro820231996
Raymondville720241975
Sejita620242009
El Sauz520231994
Rachal420231970
Kingsville420241981
Mirando City420242005
Zapata319821969
George West320242001
Hondo320242012
Loyola Beach320091994
Pedro Creek320052004
Petronila220062006
Randado220181973
Mcfaddin220112011
Hobson220242009
Laredo220232005
Brite220182008
Catarina 3220242018
Lag Atascosa120241974
Encinal120101995
San Ygnacio119821967

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.