Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Green Heron In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
Green Heron in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has collapsed: down 83% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-83%Since 1969
100Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Green Heron has collapsed in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 83% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Green Heron in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.49 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.94). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±125%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.9495% range
±125%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.94 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.94 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.94 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.94 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.94 |
Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
| Goodwater | OKLAHOMA | 9 | 2021 |
| Chandler | TEXAS | 7 | 2004 |
| Blakely | ARKANSAS | 6 | 1999 |
| Cypress | LOUISIANA | 6 | 1987 |
| Goodwill | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2021 |
| Mcalester | OKLAHOMA | 5 | 1991 |
| Easton | LOUISIANA | 4 | 1990 |
| Indianola | OKLAHOMA | 4 | 2023 |
| Matoy | OKLAHOMA | 4 | 1994 |
| Easton | TEXAS | 4 | 2012 |
| Massard | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2015 |
| Four Lakes | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2001 |
| Derry 2 | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2024 |
| Natchitoches | LOUISIANA | 3 | 1991 |
| Enterprise | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2011 |
| Sandbluff | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 1995 |
| New Waverly | TEXAS | 3 | 2003 |
| Caledonia | TEXAS | 3 | 2022 |
| Morton | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Athens | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Crows | ARKANSAS | 2 | 1990 |
| Poyen | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2001 |
| Stark | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Coal Hill | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Nance | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.