Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Green Heron In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
Green Heron in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-55%Since 1968
242Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Green Heron has fallen sharply in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Green Heron in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 0.22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.17 (95% range 0.00–0.34). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-23%Change by 2029
0.17Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3495% range
±18.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.19 | 0.03 | 0.36 |
| 2026 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 0.35 |
| 2027 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 0.35 |
| 2028 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 0.34 |
| 2029 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
| Dailey | ILLINOIS | 5 | 2005 |
| Gary | INDIANA | 5 | 1995 |
| Belleview | ILLINOIS | 4 | 2023 |
| Rockingham | MISSOURI | 4 | 1999 |
| Stet | MISSOURI | 4 | 1990 |
| Milford | MISSOURI | 4 | 2024 |
| Kenton | OHIO | 4 | 2013 |
| Mill Creek | ILLINOIS | 3 | 2012 |
| Mackinaw | ILLINOIS | 3 | 2021 |
| Mascoutah Lk | ILLINOIS | 3 | 2018 |
| Thorntown | INDIANA | 3 | 2022 |
| Portage | INDIANA | 3 | 2004 |
| Davis Corner | IOWA | 3 | 2005 |
| Morehead | KANSAS | 3 | 2012 |
| Sni Mills | MISSOURI | 3 | 1990 |
| Sticklervill | MISSOURI | 3 | 2012 |
| Trenton | MISSOURI | 3 | 2001 |
| Kearney | MISSOURI | 3 | 2024 |
| Gildehouse | MISSOURI | 3 | 1989 |
| Auburn | MISSOURI | 3 | 2024 |
| Putnam | ILLINOIS | 2 | 1996 |
| Wayne | ILLINOIS | 2 | 2023 |
| Newark | ILLINOIS | 2 | 2016 |
| Terre Haute | ILLINOIS | 2 | 2024 |
| Williamsfld | ILLINOIS | 2 | 2018 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.