Species · BCR 10 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Greater Sage-Grouse In Northern Rockies
Greater Sage-Grouse in Northern Rockies has collapsed: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-78%Since 1970
67Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Greater Sage-Grouse has collapsed in Northern Rockies: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Greater Sage-Grouse in Northern Rockies is projected to fall about 82% by 2029 — from 0.76 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.14 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±139.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-82%Change by 2029
0.14Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±139.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2027 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
Routes In Northern Rockies
| Boulder | WYOMING | 43 | 2012 |
| Bear Creek | WYOMING | 28 | 2024 |
| Big Sandy | WYOMING | 20 | 2018 |
| Elk Horn | WYOMING | 17 | 2018 |
| Frannie | WYOMING | 17 | 2023 |
| Arminto | WYOMING | 14 | 2024 |
| Seedskadee | WYOMING | 14 | 2015 |
| Bairoil | WYOMING | 13 | 2024 |
| Ryegrass | WYOMING | 12 | 2024 |
| Diamondville | WYOMING | 11 | 1981 |
| Patrick Draw 6 | WYOMING | 11 | 2024 |
| Shirley | WYOMING | 9 | 2006 |
| Patrick Draw 2 | WYOMING | 9 | 1981 |
| Reliance | WYOMING | 8 | 1981 |
| Patrick Draw 5 | WYOMING | 7 | 2009 |
| Nowood | WYOMING | 6 | 2024 |
| Riverside | WYOMING | 6 | 1971 |
| Sand Draw | WYOMING | 6 | 2024 |
| Beaverhead | MONTANA | 5 | 1988 |
| Randolph | UTAH | 5 | 2013 |
| Saleratus Cr | UTAH | 5 | 2018 |
| Meeteetse | WYOMING | 5 | 2019 |
| Sweetwater | WYOMING | 5 | 2009 |
| Black Rock 2 | WYOMING | 5 | 2024 |
| Gebo | WYOMING | 4 | 2019 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.