BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Kiskadee In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieAerial insectivores

Great Kiskadee in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 442% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

+442%Since 1978
9Routes In Region
42Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Great Kiskadee has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 442% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Kiskadee in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.58–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-11%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.58–1.695% range
±60.6%Backtest error
19732029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.00.501.5
20261.00.521.6
20271.10.541.6
20281.10.561.6
20291.10.581.6

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Great Kiskadee in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Loyola Beach 2TEXAS172024
Lag AtascosaTEXAS92024
Loyola BeachTEXAS82009
Goliad PrairieTEXAS22007
PetronilaTEXAS12022
Rock IslandTEXAS12017
San PedroTEXAS12022
Bayside 3TEXAS12017
L. Atascosa NwrTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.