Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Egret In Great Basin
Great Egret in Great Basin has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
-59%Since 1974
46Routes In Region
52Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Great Egret has fallen sharply in Great Basin: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Great Egret in Great Basin is projected to rise about 110% by 2029 — from 0.27 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.57 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±239.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+110%Change by 2029
0.57Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.295% range
±239.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Dorris | CALIFORNIA | 44 | 2019 |
| Fish Lake | OREGON | 25 | 2022 |
| Modoc Point | OREGON | 17 | 2018 |
| Moses Lake | WASHINGTON | 17 | 2021 |
| Modoc Point 2 | OREGON | 16 | 2024 |
| Likely | CALIFORNIA | 14 | 2024 |
| Honey Lake | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2019 |
| Carson River | NEVADA | 7 | 2005 |
| Trout Creek | OREGON | 5 | 2000 |
| Clear Lk Res | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 1999 |
| Hiko | NEVADA | 4 | 2023 |
| Warner Vally | OREGON | 4 | 2023 |
| Macdoel | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2018 |
| Princeton | OREGON | 3 | 1985 |
| Harney Lake | OREGON | 3 | 2024 |
| Ruby Valley 2 | NEVADA | 2 | 2021 |
| Umatilla | OREGON | 2 | 2022 |
| Merrill | OREGON | 2 | 2018 |
| Catlow Rim | OREGON | 2 | 2016 |
| Scootney Reservoir | WASHINGTON | 2 | 2024 |
| Nubieber | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2005 |
| Ingalls | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1992 |
| Crowley Lake | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Davis Creek | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2014 |
| Madeline | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2021 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.