BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Great Egret In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestWetland birds

Great Egret in Northern Pacific Rainforest has surged: up 428% on the route-weighted index since 1990.

+428%Since 1990TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
29YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Great Egret in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.

Great Egret In Northern Pacific Rainforest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Egret in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 57% by 2030 — from 0.23 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.36 (95% range 0.00–0.84). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±319.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+57%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.36Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.8495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±319.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Great Egret in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 57% by 2030 — from 0.23 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.36 (95% range 0.00–0.84). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±319.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19702030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.330.000.82
20270.340.000.82
20280.350.000.83
20290.350.000.84
20300.360.000.84

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording Great Egret in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CoquilleOREGON82025
ScappooseOREGON42025
Bodega BayCALIFORNIA22011
YrekaCALIFORNIA22018
WedderburnOREGON22025
GlasgowOREGON22025
Crescent CtyCALIFORNIA12024
Redwood N.P.CALIFORNIA11996
HauserOREGON11970
AdairOREGON12022
ProspectOREGON12010

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.