BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Egret In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertWetland birds

Great Egret in Chihuahuan Desert has surged: up 75% on the route-weighted index since 1996.

+75%Since 1996
10Routes In Region
20Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Great Egret has surged in Chihuahuan Desert: up 75% on the route-weighted index since 1996.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Egret in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 28% by 2027 — from 0.07 in 2022 to a central estimate of 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-28%Change by 2027
0.05Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.3395% range
±61.7%Backtest error
19932027
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20230.060.000.34
20240.060.000.34
20250.060.000.34
20260.050.000.33
20270.050.000.33

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Great Egret in Chihuahuan Desert.
Quitman Canyon 2TEXAS32019
LaborcitaNEW-MEXICO22019
MesillaNEW-MEXICO11999
Laborcita 2NEW-MEXICO12022
ComstockTEXAS12022
LongfellowTEXAS11999
Bear MtnTEXAS12003
PresidioTEXAS12006
Quitman Cyn.TEXAS12001
CanutilloTEXAS12014

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.