Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Egret In Peninsular Florida
Great Egret in Peninsular Florida has fallen sharply: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-62%Since 1968
80Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Great Egret has fallen sharply in Peninsular Florida: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Great Egret in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 33% by 2029 — from 4.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.2 (95% range 0.00–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+33%Change by 2029
6.2Projected 2029 index
0.00–1495% range
±56.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.5 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2026 | 6.4 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2027 | 6.4 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2028 | 6.3 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2029 | 6.2 | 0.00 | 14 |
Routes In Peninsular Florida
| Shawano 2 | FLORIDA | 237 | 2011 |
| Sandy | FLORIDA | 60 | 2015 |
| Deanville | FLORIDA | 44 | 2019 |
| Key Largo | FLORIDA | 43 | 1990 |
| Merritt Isl | FLORIDA | 41 | 2011 |
| Wildernes Pk | FLORIDA | 38 | 2014 |
| Alva | FLORIDA | 33 | 2023 |
| Corbett | FLORIDA | 32 | 2024 |
| Mabel 2 | FLORIDA | 26 | 2019 |
| Devils Gardn | FLORIDA | 24 | 2024 |
| Shawano | FLORIDA | 23 | 2002 |
| Salvista | FLORIDA | 22 | 1979 |
| Tamiami | FLORIDA | 20 | 1974 |
| Winter Gardn | FLORIDA | 19 | 2019 |
| Holey Land | FLORIDA | 19 | 2024 |
| Romeo | FLORIDA | 15 | 2024 |
| Webb | FLORIDA | 15 | 2024 |
| Weaver Stn | FLORIDA | 14 | 2019 |
| Merritt Island 2 | FLORIDA | 13 | 2014 |
| Clewiston | FLORIDA | 11 | 2023 |
| Indiantown | FLORIDA | 10 | 2017 |
| Davie | FLORIDA | 10 | 2017 |
| Crewsville | FLORIDA | 10 | 2023 |
| Andytown | FLORIDA | 9 | 1998 |
| Homestead | FLORIDA | 9 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.