Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Egret In Central Hardwoods
Great Egret in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1974.
17×Since 1974
41Routes In Region
44Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Great Egret has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Great Egret in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 861% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.84 (95% range 0.00–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±196.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+861%Change by 2029
0.84Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.795% range
±196.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 0.79 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2027 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2028 | 0.82 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Wheeler Dam | ALABAMA | 189 | 2023 |
| Valhermoso Spgs | ALABAMA | 11 | 2009 |
| Cumback | INDIANA | 10 | 2021 |
| Royalton | ILLINOIS | 9 | 2023 |
| Belknap | ILLINOIS | 4 | 2024 |
| Beaverdam Lk | ILLINOIS | 3 | 2014 |
| Elkmont | ALABAMA | 2 | 2021 |
| Triana | ALABAMA | 2 | 2012 |
| Newberry | INDIANA | 2 | 2023 |
| Canton | KENTUCKY | 2 | 2024 |
| Sweden | MISSOURI | 2 | 2022 |
| Baron | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2023 |
| Swaim | ALABAMA | 1 | 2003 |
| Valhermoso Spg 2 | ALABAMA | 1 | 2014 |
| Carter Grove | ALABAMA | 1 | 2019 |
| Zion | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2005 |
| Ravenden Springs | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2014 |
| Russell | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2021 |
| Pulaski | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2023 |
| Bremen | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2022 |
| Sandusky | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2023 |
| Karnak | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2023 |
| Pimento | INDIANA | 1 | 2018 |
| Johnsonville | KENTUCKY | 1 | 1967 |
| Joy | KENTUCKY | 1 | 2023 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.