Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Gray Partridge In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
Gray Partridge in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has collapsed: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-92%Since 1969
33Routes In Region
50Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Gray Partridge has collapsed in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Gray Partridge in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±105.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1795% range
±105.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
| Bedford | IOWA | 9 | 1989 |
| Bryant | IOWA | 6 | 1998 |
| Mill Creek | ILLINOIS | 4 | 1988 |
| Cedar Valley | IOWA | 4 | 1991 |
| Gaza | IOWA | 3 | 2015 |
| Austin | MINNESOTA | 3 | 2021 |
| Holcomb | ILLINOIS | 2 | 1993 |
| Atkinson | ILLINOIS | 2 | 1987 |
| Geneseo | ILLINOIS | 2 | 1990 |
| Troy Grove | ILLINOIS | 2 | 1995 |
| Seneca | ILLINOIS | 2 | 1999 |
| Hebron | INDIANA | 2 | 1970 |
| Middletown | INDIANA | 2 | 1972 |
| Milroy | INDIANA | 2 | 1970 |
| Alice | IOWA | 2 | 1997 |
| Prairieburg | IOWA | 2 | 1993 |
| Pierson | IOWA | 2 | 2018 |
| Davis Corner | IOWA | 2 | 2024 |
| Rock Valley | IOWA | 2 | 2001 |
| Ash Creek | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2014 |
| Lakeville | MINNESOTA | 2 | 1994 |
| Le Roy | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2017 |
| Thurston | NEBRASKA | 2 | 1991 |
| Raymond | WISCONSIN | 2 | 1969 |
| Sheffield | ILLINOIS | 1 | 1991 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.