BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Gray Catbird In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Gray Catbird in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has collapsed: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-77%Since 1968
37Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Gray Catbird has collapsed in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.21 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±103.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4195% range
±103.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.030.000.43
20260.020.000.43
20270.010.000.42
20280.000.000.41
20290.000.000.41

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Gray Catbird in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Warren VickMISSISSIPPI82021
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY32024
AugustaARKANSAS22000
UlmARKANSAS22000
RoselandLOUISIANA22024
River RoadLOUISIANA22000
Tchula 2MISSISSIPPI21976
Tchula 3MISSISSIPPI22023
EudoraARKANSAS11999
HughesARKANSAS11986
West TylerARKANSAS11983
HarrisburgARKANSAS11991
WhittonARKANSAS11979
SaffellARKANSAS12004
MaynardARKANSAS12014
WilsonARKANSAS12012
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS12017
BardwellKENTUCKY12002
ShawLOUISIANA11994
MayflowerLOUISIANA11991
RayvilleLOUISIANA11975
RamahLOUISIANA11990
FrogmoreLOUISIANA12023
TransylvaniaLOUISIANA12019
Tensas NwrLOUISIANA12005

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.