BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Gray Catbird In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

Gray Catbird in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-59%Since 1969
77Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Gray Catbird has fallen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 71% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.17 (95% range 0.00–0.48). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+71%Change by 2029
0.17Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4895% range
±40.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.180.000.50
20260.180.000.50
20270.180.000.49
20280.170.000.49
20290.170.000.48

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Gray Catbird in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Fort JessupLOUISIANA52023
StarkARKANSAS32023
StephensARKANSAS32022
HopeARKANSAS22005
AshdownARKANSAS22023
Dry ForkARKANSAS22022
ClayLOUISIANA22016
Lake CoveLOUISIANA22018
Town BluffTEXAS22015
FredTEXAS22009
Lance Rosier BithTEXAS22019
Old MiloARKANSAS12009
RamseyARKANSAS11996
Locust BayouARKANSAS12023
StampsARKANSAS12022
CrowsARKANSAS11984
PoyenARKANSAS12007
HollywoodARKANSAS12023
BlakelyARKANSAS11994
WaldronARKANSAS11988
Coal HillARKANSAS12001
MassardARKANSAS12018
HavanaARKANSAS12013
SimsARKANSAS12019
LockesburgARKANSAS12019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.