Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Gray Catbird In Oaks and Prairies
Gray Catbird in Oaks and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-67%Since 1969
25Routes In Region
38Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Gray Catbird has fallen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±281.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2028
0.04Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.1395% range
±281.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| 2028 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Skiatook | OKLAHOMA | 4 | 2002 |
| Ardmore | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 1969 |
| Barnsdall | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 1976 |
| Bartlesville | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2008 |
| Henrietta | TEXAS | 2 | 1976 |
| Mill Creek | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2003 |
| Holdenville | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2023 |
| Beggs | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2021 |
| Choctaw | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 1999 |
| Noble | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2018 |
| Heyburn | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2019 |
| Schroeder | TEXAS | 1 | 1977 |
| Arenosa Crk | TEXAS | 1 | 1975 |
| Oak Grove | TEXAS | 1 | 1968 |
| Gause | TEXAS | 1 | 1971 |
| Peach Creek | TEXAS | 1 | 1967 |
| Massey Lake | TEXAS | 1 | 2005 |
| Oakwood | TEXAS | 1 | 1980 |
| Thornton | TEXAS | 1 | 1979 |
| Ola | TEXAS | 1 | 1987 |
| Dike | TEXAS | 1 | 1973 |
| Hearne | TEXAS | 1 | 2001 |
| Blue Ridge | TEXAS | 1 | 2009 |
| Wills Point | TEXAS | 1 | 2005 |
| Gambill Ref. | TEXAS | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.