Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Gray Catbird In Central Mixed Grass Prairie
Gray Catbird in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has surged: up 93% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+93%Since 1969
75Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Gray Catbird has surged in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 93% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 0.82 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.49–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+23%Change by 2029
1.0Projected 2029 index
0.49–1.595% range
±30.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.98 | 0.46 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 0.99 | 0.47 | 1.5 |
| 2027 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 1.5 |
| 2028 | 1.0 | 0.48 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 1.0 | 0.49 | 1.5 |
Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie
| Boelus | NEBRASKA | 12 | 2022 |
| Belvidere | NEBRASKA | 11 | 2024 |
| Hollenberg | KANSAS | 8 | 2023 |
| Surprise | NEBRASKA | 8 | 2024 |
| St John | KANSAS | 7 | 2019 |
| Red Cloud | NEBRASKA | 6 | 2024 |
| Minneapolis | KANSAS | 5 | 2019 |
| Ash Valley | KANSAS | 5 | 2019 |
| Liberty | NEBRASKA | 5 | 2003 |
| Hays | KANSAS | 4 | 2014 |
| Jewell 2 | KANSAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Hopewell | KANSAS | 4 | 2018 |
| Beloit 2 | KANSAS | 4 | 2018 |
| Berwyn | NEBRASKA | 4 | 2010 |
| Hampton | NEBRASKA | 4 | 2024 |
| Coldwater | KANSAS | 3 | 2022 |
| Covert | KANSAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Jewell | KANSAS | 3 | 2005 |
| Missler | KANSAS | 3 | 2001 |
| Kearney | NEBRASKA | 3 | 2024 |
| Holbrook | NEBRASKA | 3 | 2024 |
| Petersburg | NEBRASKA | 3 | 2023 |
| Liberty 2 | NEBRASKA | 3 | 2007 |
| Wheeler Co | NEBRASKA | 3 | 2024 |
| Berwyn 2 | NEBRASKA | 3 | 2021 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.