BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Gray Catbird In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesGeneralists

Gray Catbird in Badlands and Prairies has edged up: up 20% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+20%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
83Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Gray Catbird in Badlands and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Gray Catbird In Badlands and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 31% by 2029 — from 0.59 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.77 (95% range 0.29–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+31%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.77Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.29–1.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 31% by 2029 — from 0.59 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.77 (95% range 0.29–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.760.281.2
20260.760.281.2
20270.770.281.3
20280.770.281.3
20290.770.291.3

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Gray Catbird in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
TobaccoNORTH-DAKOTA102019
Reed PointMONTANA82024
Moskee 2WYOMING62021
Moskee 3WYOMING62024
FlatwillowMONTANA52008
St XavierMONTANA52011
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA52018
ForsythMONTANA42021
Custer 2MONTANA42024
WinnerSOUTH-DAKOTA42004
Long DrawSOUTH-DAKOTA42024
GolvaNORTH-DAKOTA32023
SolenNORTH-DAKOTA32024
BadlandsSOUTH-DAKOTA32014
SundanceWYOMING32024
MoskeeWYOMING32001
Seely 2WYOMING32014
RoyMONTANA21999
CircleMONTANA21975
Flatwillow 2MONTANA22023
LindsayMONTANA22024
Chuffey SpringMONTANA22024
Bull Mtn.MONTANA22019
Ft YatesNORTH-DAKOTA22004
ZapNORTH-DAKOTA22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.