BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Gray Catbird In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainGeneralists

Gray Catbird in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has surged: up 105% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+105%Since 1968
86Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Gray Catbird has surged in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: up 105% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Gray Catbird in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 22 (95% range 18–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.9%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2029
22Projected 2029 index
18–2595% range
±18.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025211724
2026211824
2027211825
2028211825
2029221825

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Gray Catbird in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
ChurchvilleNEW-YORK682024
North EastonNEW-YORK592024
CatskillsNEW-YORK582015
CayugaNEW-YORK462024
Sugar GrovePENNSYLVANIA422024
Cicero CtrNEW-YORK412024
NaplesNEW-YORK372024
PenfieldNEW-YORK352024
BranchportNEW-YORK332024
MacdougallNEW-YORK322024
RhinebeckNEW-YORK312024
Ballston LkNEW-YORK301995
TrumansburgNEW-YORK282024
HamburgNEW-YORK282024
AusterlitzNEW-YORK272024
Mt MorrisNEW-YORK272024
HarmonsburgPENNSYLVANIA272023
ShaftsburyVERMONT272024
ArgyleNEW-YORK262024
Ferris CrnrsPENNSYLVANIA262024
OgdensburgNEW-YORK252024
TeeplevillePENNSYLVANIA252024
GhentNEW-YORK242024
SalemNEW-YORK242024
Alder CreekNEW-YORK232004

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.