Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Golden Eagle In Chihuahuan Desert
Golden Eagle in Chihuahuan Desert has fallen sharply: down 60% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
-60%Since 1971
28Routes In Region
45Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Golden Eagle has fallen sharply in Chihuahuan Desert: down 60% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Golden Eagle in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 63% by 2024 — from 0.13 in 2019 to a central estimate of 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-63%Change by 2024
0.05Projected 2024 index
0.00–0.1795% range
±81.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2021 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2022 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2023 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2024 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
Routes In Chihuahuan Desert
| Gage | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2019 |
| Deming | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 1974 |
| Jornada | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2016 |
| Laborcita | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2019 |
| Hatchet Peak | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2002 |
| Slaughter | TEXAS | 2 | 2014 |
| Salt Flat | TEXAS | 2 | 2013 |
| Roswell | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 1969 |
| Cloudcroft | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2012 |
| Rodeo | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2002 |
| Red Rock | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2003 |
| Pinon | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2008 |
| Columbus | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2004 |
| Escondida | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2016 |
| Engle | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 1988 |
| Lake Valley | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2017 |
| Sunshine Wll | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2010 |
| Hot Springs | TEXAS | 1 | 2012 |
| Shafter | TEXAS | 1 | 1983 |
| Altuda | TEXAS | 1 | 2006 |
| Valentine | TEXAS | 1 | 1974 |
| Cornudas | TEXAS | 1 | 1986 |
| Coyanda Draw | TEXAS | 1 | 2003 |
| Toyahvale | TEXAS | 1 | 2003 |
| Quitman Cyn. | TEXAS | 1 | 2007 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.