Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Fox Sparrow Population Trend in Utah
Fox Sparrow in Utah has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1979.
-53%Since 1979
21Routes In State
40Years
Notable Fox Sparrow Trends in Utah
long arc declinecomputed index
Fox Sparrow has fallen sharply in Utah: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1979.
Fox Sparrow Population Forecast in Utah
If the recent trend holds, Fox Sparrow in Utah is projected to fall about 41% by 2029 — from 0.42 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.25 (95% range 0.00–0.66). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-41%Change by 2029
0.25Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6695% range
±60.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| 2026 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| 2027 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.66 |
| 2028 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.66 |
| 2029 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.66 |
Fox Sparrow Survey Routes in Utah
| Uintah Nf | 13 | 1994 | 1990 |
| Woodruff | 8 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Lost Cr. Res | 7 | 2015 | 1995 |
| Gooseberry | 7 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Logan Canyon | 5 | 2019 | 2000 |
| Soapstone | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Hardware Ranch | 4 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Heber Mtn. | 3 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Skyline Driv | 2 | 2006 | 1986 |
| Moon Lake 2 | 1 | 2023 | 2006 |
| Hyrum | 1 | 1979 | 1975 |
| Saleratus Cr | 1 | 2011 | 1997 |
| Beaver | 1 | 1982 | 1979 |
| Randolph | 1 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Beck 2 | 1 | 2006 | 1996 |
| Hanna | 1 | 2023 | 1997 |
| Ferron | 1 | 2021 | 2000 |
| Ant Flat-Ogden Can | 1 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Wasatch Nf | 1 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Fish Lake Nf | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Main Canyon | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
Fox Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.