BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Fish Crow In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

Fish Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 202% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+202%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
97Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Fish Crow has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 202% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Fish Crow In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Fish Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 188% by 2029 — from 0.84 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.4–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+188%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.4Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.4–3.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±78%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Fish Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 188% by 2029 — from 0.84 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.4–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.31.33.3
20262.31.43.3
20272.41.43.4
20282.41.43.4
20292.41.43.4

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Fish Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA302021
BlancoOKLAHOMA222016
PocolaOKLAHOMA152016
Coal HillARKANSAS122023
Lake CoveLOUISIANA102018
McalesterOKLAHOMA101990
BlakelyARKANSAS91999
EastonLOUISIANA91990
Fort JessupLOUISIANA92023
AshdownARKANSAS82023
OakdaleLOUISIANA81994
ZwolleLOUISIANA72023
IvanLOUISIANA72013
EvelynLOUISIANA72022
Neches BithTEXAS72017
Derry 2LOUISIANA62023
Pine PrairieLOUISIANA61997
Ivan 2LOUISIANA62016
New WaverlyTEXAS61986
Liberty HillTEXAS62023
StarkARKANSAS52024
CypressLOUISIANA51987
NatchitochesLOUISIANA51989
CanadianOKLAHOMA52017
MatoyOKLAHOMA51995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.