Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Field Sparrow In Central Hardwoods
Field Sparrow in Central Hardwoods has fallen sharply: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-69%Since 1968
166Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Field Sparrow has fallen sharply in Central Hardwoods: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Field Sparrow in Central Hardwoods is projected to fall about 29% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.0 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-29%Change by 2029
8.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–1695% range
±25.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9.2 | 1.1 | 17 |
| 2026 | 8.9 | 0.84 | 17 |
| 2027 | 8.6 | 0.53 | 17 |
| 2028 | 8.3 | 0.23 | 16 |
| 2029 | 8.0 | 0.00 | 16 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Royalton | ILLINOIS | 45 | 2024 |
| Bays Fork | KENTUCKY | 42 | 2019 |
| Drakesboro | KENTUCKY | 38 | 1993 |
| Beaverdam Lk | ILLINOIS | 31 | 2023 |
| Peace Valley | MISSOURI | 31 | 2024 |
| Osage Beach | MISSOURI | 31 | 2024 |
| Belknap | ILLINOIS | 30 | 2024 |
| Cole Camp | MISSOURI | 29 | 1990 |
| Richland | MISSOURI | 28 | 2021 |
| Swaim | ALABAMA | 25 | 2024 |
| Bremen | ILLINOIS | 25 | 2024 |
| Graydon | MISSOURI | 25 | 2024 |
| West Plains | MISSOURI | 25 | 2024 |
| Rome | OHIO | 25 | 2024 |
| Farwell | ARKANSAS | 23 | 2018 |
| Iron Bridge | KENTUCKY | 23 | 1998 |
| Johnsonville | KENTUCKY | 22 | 2021 |
| Buena Vista | KENTUCKY | 22 | 2017 |
| Bland | MISSOURI | 22 | 2024 |
| Levee | KENTUCKY | 21 | 1982 |
| Eugene | MISSOURI | 21 | 2024 |
| Petersburg | TENNESSEE | 21 | 2019 |
| Sweden | MISSOURI | 20 | 2024 |
| Peytonsville | TENNESSEE | 20 | 2024 |
| Merrimac | KENTUCKY | 19 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.