Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eurasian Collared-Dove In Gulf Coastal Prairie
Eurasian Collared-Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1999.
11×Since 1999
38Routes In Region
27Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1999.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 46% by 2029 — from 4.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.1 (95% range 3.2–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+46%Change by 2029
7.1Projected 2029 index
3.2–1195% range
±78.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 10 |
| 2026 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 11 |
| 2027 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 11 |
| 2028 | 7.0 | 3.1 | 11 |
| 2029 | 7.1 | 3.2 | 11 |
Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie
| Esther | LOUISIANA | 15 | 2024 |
| Indianola | TEXAS | 13 | 2024 |
| Loyola Beach 2 | TEXAS | 12 | 2024 |
| Maurice | LOUISIANA | 10 | 2024 |
| Lag Atascosa | TEXAS | 10 | 2024 |
| Ltl Chenier 2 | LOUISIANA | 8 | 2011 |
| Vinton 2 | LOUISIANA | 8 | 2024 |
| Rock Island | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Bayside 3 | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Mcfaddin | TEXAS | 6 | 2016 |
| Kaplan | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2023 |
| Richard | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2024 |
| Loyola Beach | TEXAS | 5 | 2009 |
| Hackberry | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2016 |
| Glencoe | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2018 |
| Grand Isle | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2019 |
| Ltl Chenier | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2021 |
| Forked Island | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Forked Island 2 | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2011 |
| Bayside | TEXAS | 4 | 2010 |
| Moon Lake 2 | TEXAS | 4 | 2023 |
| Goliad Prairie | TEXAS | 3 | 2016 |
| Hackberry 2 | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Woodlawn | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2021 |
| Petronila | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.