Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eurasian Collared-Dove In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Eurasian Collared-Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands has surged: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 2002.
18×Since 2002
25Routes In Region
24Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Tamaulipan Brushlands: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 2002.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 37% by 2029 — from 8.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 5.1–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±178.3%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+37%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
5.1–1895% range
±178.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10 | 3.8 | 17 |
| 2026 | 11 | 4.1 | 17 |
| 2027 | 11 | 4.4 | 18 |
| 2028 | 11 | 4.8 | 18 |
| 2029 | 12 | 5.1 | 18 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Progreso | TEXAS | 23 | 2011 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 21 | 2010 |
| George West | TEXAS | 19 | 2024 |
| Randado | TEXAS | 15 | 2024 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 14 | 2024 |
| La Pryor | TEXAS | 10 | 2010 |
| Heidelberg | TEXAS | 10 | 2024 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 9 | 2024 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Guerra | TEXAS | 8 | 2023 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 7 | 2023 |
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| El Sauz | TEXAS | 7 | 2023 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 7 | 2012 |
| Millett 2 | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 5 | 2017 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 3 | 2010 |
| Dilley | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Catarina 3 | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Cavasara Cr. | TEXAS | 2 | 2010 |
| Laredo | TEXAS | 1 | 2019 |
| Pedro Creek | TEXAS | 1 | 2010 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.