BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Sierra Madre Occidental has surged: up 724% on the route-weighted index since 2005.

+724%Since 2005
23Routes In Region
21Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Sierra Madre Occidental: up 723% on the route-weighted index since 2005.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to rise about 41% by 2029 — from 3.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.6 (95% range 2.3–6.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±126.4%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+41%Change by 2029
4.6Projected 2029 index
2.3–6.995% range
±126.4%Backtest error
20032029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.11.86.3
20264.21.96.5
20274.32.16.6
20284.52.26.8
20294.62.36.9

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Sierra Madre Occidental.
Skull ValleyARIZONA262024
McnealARIZONA102024
PomereneARIZONA82024
PatagoniaARIZONA72024
AmadoARIZONA62023
Clay SpringARIZONA62024
PrescottARIZONA52021
RedingtonARIZONA32019
Tonto Vill.ARIZONA22017
Bartlett ResARIZONA22017
PortalARIZONA22024
San SimonARIZONA12015
WilliamsARIZONA12019
MaineARIZONA12021
Forest LakesARIZONA12021
PinetopARIZONA12022
SahuaritaARIZONA12021
Happy JackARIZONA12013
Carr MtnARIZONA12022
SprucedaleARIZONA12017
Sunizona 2ARIZONA12023
ReserveNEW-MEXICO12022
MagdalenaNEW-MEXICO12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.