BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

All regionsSonoran and Mojave DesertsGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has surged: up 318% on the route-weighted index since 2006.

+318%Since 2006
50Routes In Region
20Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts: up 318% on the route-weighted index since 2006.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to rise about 129% by 2029 — from 4.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 4.8–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±136.9%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+129%Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
4.8–1795% range
±136.9%Backtest error
20042029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025103.916
2026104.216
2027104.417
2028114.617
2029114.817

Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts.
Imperial DamCALIFORNIA442010
HopeARIZONA412009
Alamo RiverCALIFORNIA262018
Cactus ForestARIZONA242024
OatmanARIZONA232024
Coachella CnCALIFORNIA232013
Jean LakeNEVADA212013
Hope 2ARIZONA182019
BrawleyCALIFORNIA182012
Palo Verde 2ARIZONA172024
Red Rock 2ARIZONA172024
Palo VerdeARIZONA152013
New RiverARIZONA142016
Palo VerdeCALIFORNIA122024
ArabyARIZONA92023
Calif CityCALIFORNIA92015
NilandCALIFORNIA92024
LagunaARIZONA82023
Cibola LakeARIZONA72024
Ajo 2ARIZONA72022
Organ PipeARIZONA72023
Lone PineCALIFORNIA72024
BeattyNEVADA72024
Joshua Tree 2CALIFORNIA52016
Willow Springs 2CALIFORNIA52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.