BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Coastal California

All regionsCoastal CaliforniaGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Coastal California has surged: up 170× on the route-weighted index since 2006.

170×Since 2006
78Routes In Region
20Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Coastal California: up 170× on the route-weighted index since 2006.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Coastal California is projected to rise about 55% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 22 (95% range 19–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+55%Change by 2029
22Projected 2029 index
19–2695% range
±32.1%Backtest error
20042029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025191522
2026201623
2027211724
2028211825
2029221926

Routes In Coastal California

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Coastal California.
OrlandCALIFORNIA522022
WestleyCALIFORNIA422024
Hollister 2CALIFORNIA402024
Tres Pinos 2CALIFORNIA392011
HollisterCALIFORNIA382011
HughsonCALIFORNIA372024
Collegeville 2CALIFORNIA362023
Tracy 2CALIFORNIA332024
CohassetCALIFORNIA322024
MorenoCALIFORNIA302024
CoalingaCALIFORNIA302022
GreenfieldCALIFORNIA302024
Ora LomaCALIFORNIA302024
ParkfieldCALIFORNIA292024
SisquocCALIFORNIA292014
Red BluffCALIFORNIA282024
Oak GroveCALIFORNIA282024
BakersfieldCALIFORNIA262023
JacumbaCALIFORNIA262024
CrestonCALIFORNIA242024
PolomaCALIFORNIA242024
Cuyamaca PkCALIFORNIA222024
OrovilleCALIFORNIA202024
OnoCALIFORNIA182012
Carmel ValCALIFORNIA172024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.