Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eurasian Collared-Dove In Southeastern Coastal Plain
Eurasian Collared-Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 805% on the route-weighted index since 1994.
+805%Since 1994
201Routes In Region
32Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 805% on the route-weighted index since 1994.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 108% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 0.23–4.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±117.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+108%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
0.23–4.195% range
±117.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.1 | 0.14 | 4.0 |
| 2026 | 2.1 | 0.17 | 4.1 |
| 2027 | 2.1 | 0.19 | 4.1 |
| 2028 | 2.2 | 0.21 | 4.1 |
| 2029 | 2.2 | 0.23 | 4.1 |
Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain
| Ft Waltn Bch | FLORIDA | 34 | 2011 |
| Alabama Pt | ALABAMA | 23 | 2003 |
| Lovedale | FLORIDA | 20 | 2011 |
| Brundidge | ALABAMA | 16 | 2021 |
| Santa Rosa | FLORIDA | 12 | 2003 |
| Elamville | ALABAMA | 11 | 2024 |
| New Hope | FLORIDA | 11 | 2011 |
| Defuniak Spr | FLORIDA | 10 | 2017 |
| Cybur | MISSISSIPPI | 10 | 2019 |
| Cottonton | ALABAMA | 8 | 2024 |
| Blocton | ALABAMA | 8 | 2024 |
| Billingsley | ALABAMA | 7 | 2022 |
| Newton | ALABAMA | 7 | 2024 |
| New Ellenton | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 7 | 2018 |
| Whitehall | ALABAMA | 6 | 2024 |
| Cross City | FLORIDA | 6 | 2023 |
| Bickham | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Macon | MISSISSIPPI | 6 | 2024 |
| Nixville | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 6 | 2009 |
| Castleberry | ALABAMA | 5 | 2024 |
| Broad Branch | FLORIDA | 5 | 2024 |
| Hilliard | FLORIDA | 5 | 2023 |
| Apalachicola | FLORIDA | 5 | 2009 |
| Fitzgerald | GEORGIA | 5 | 2023 |
| Nashville | GEORGIA | 5 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.