Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eurasian Collared-Dove In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
Eurasian Collared-Dove in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 640% on the route-weighted index since 2000.
+640%Since 2000
59Routes In Region
26Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 640% on the route-weighted index since 2000.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 119% by 2029 — from 1.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.7 (95% range 1.4–6.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±158.7%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+119%Change by 2029
3.7Projected 2029 index
1.4–6.095% range
±158.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 5.7 |
| 2026 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 5.8 |
| 2027 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 5.8 |
| 2028 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 5.9 |
| 2029 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 6.0 |
Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
| Kelso | ARKANSAS | 11 | 2016 |
| Augusta 2 | ARKANSAS | 10 | 2016 |
| Keystone | LOUISIANA | 10 | 2013 |
| Saffell | ARKANSAS | 9 | 2019 |
| Hayti | MISSOURI | 9 | 2021 |
| Mayflower | LOUISIANA | 8 | 2024 |
| Floyd | LOUISIANA | 7 | 2021 |
| Kennett | MISSOURI | 7 | 2024 |
| Isola | MISSISSIPPI | 6 | 2022 |
| Dell | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Brousville | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2024 |
| Moon | MISSISSIPPI | 5 | 2019 |
| Maynard | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Frogmore | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Transylvania | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2019 |
| Rayville 2 | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Winterville | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2011 |
| Tchula 3 | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2023 |
| Pawpaw 2 | TENNESSEE | 4 | 2023 |
| England | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Ulm | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Belair | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2010 |
| Baton Rouge | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2022 |
| Blodgett | MISSOURI | 3 | 2024 |
| Hickory Ridge | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.