BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 61× on the route-weighted index since 2003.

61×Since 2003TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
195Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
24YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eurasian Collared-Dove in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 35% by 2030 — from 2.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.7 (95% range 3.3–4.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+35%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.3–4.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 35% by 2030 — from 2.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.7 (95% range 3.3–4.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20012030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.22.83.6
20273.32.93.7
20283.53.03.9
20293.63.24.0
20303.73.34.1

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
RichlandNEBRASKA262025
RosamondILLINOIS162025
MurdockNEBRASKA162025
LincolnvilleKANSAS152024
Rock ValleyIOWA132025
BryantIOWA122025
HolcombILLINOIS112025
SenecaKANSAS112022
PontiacILLINOIS102025
HumboldtILLINOIS102025
BeaucoupILLINOIS102025
SterlingILLINOIS102023
PrairieburgIOWA102025
StillwellILLINOIS92025
BartonvilleILLINOIS92025
St MorganILLINOIS92022
DinsdaleIOWA92025
LakevilleMINNESOTA92025
Kahoka2MISSOURI92024
ThurstonNEBRASKA92025
BudaILLINOIS82023
FairburyILLINOIS82025
BrooklynIOWA82022
Sioux CityIOWA82025
MoreheadKANSAS82025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.