BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 84× on the route-weighted index since 2002.

84×Since 2002TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
62Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
25YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 84× on the route-weighted index since 2002.

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Oaks and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 54% by 2030 — from 5.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 7.9 (95% range 5.1–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.3%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+54%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.1–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±82.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 54% by 2030 — from 5.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 7.9 (95% range 5.1–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.3%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19972030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20267.04.19.8
20277.24.410
20287.44.610
20297.74.811
20307.95.111

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
DallasTEXAS272019
HenriettaTEXAS252022
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA182025
Thornton 2TEXAS162010
Mount ZionTEXAS152025
BriteTEXAS142025
RhomeTEXAS132025
GainesvilleTEXAS132025
LockhartTEXAS122025
OlneyTEXAS122024
BeggsOKLAHOMA102023
OsageTEXAS102025
OlaTEXAS102025
Miller GroveTEXAS102025
LydiaTEXAS92025
WalburgTEXAS92025
DikeTEXAS82024
YoakumTEXAS82025
Gambill Ref.TEXAS82025
HeyburnOKLAHOMA72025
GrafordTEXAS72025
Massey LakeTEXAS62025
BurtonTEXAS62024
DecaturTEXAS62024
DuncanOKLAHOMA52025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.