BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 84× on the route-weighted index since 2002.

84×Since 2002TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
61Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
24YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 84× on the route-weighted index since 2002.

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Oaks and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 71% by 2029 — from 4.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.0 (95% range 5.2–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±87.8%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+71%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8.0Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.2–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±87.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 71% by 2029 — from 4.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.0 (95% range 5.2–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±87.8%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19972029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20257.04.29.8
20267.34.410
20277.54.710
20287.84.911
20298.05.211

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
DallasTEXAS272019
HenriettaTEXAS252022
Thornton 2TEXAS162010
CottonwoodTEXAS132024
OlneyTEXAS122024
BeggsOKLAHOMA102023
NobleOKLAHOMA102024
Massey LakeTEXAS102024
OlaTEXAS102024
GrafordTEXAS102019
WeatherfordTEXAS92024
Three RiversTEXAS92024
BriteTEXAS92024
PaigeTEXAS92024
DikeTEXAS82024
GainesvilleTEXAS82024
HeyburnOKLAHOMA62024
RhomeTEXAS62024
WalburgTEXAS62024
YoakumTEXAS62024
BurtonTEXAS62024
Gambill Ref.TEXAS62024
DecaturTEXAS62024
DuncanOKLAHOMA52024
OsageTEXAS52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.