BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 16× on the route-weighted index since 2008.

16×Since 2008TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
78Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
19YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 16× on the route-weighted index since 2008.

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Badlands and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 21% by 2030 — from 2.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 2.0–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+21%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.0–3.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±30.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 21% by 2030 — from 2.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 2.0–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20052030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.11.62.7
20272.21.72.8
20282.31.82.9
20292.41.93.0
20302.52.03.1

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Eagle ButteSOUTH-DAKOTA252015
DwyerWYOMING212025
LacreekSOUTH-DAKOTA162025
SussexWYOMING122025
HighwoodMONTANA112025
OwankaSOUTH-DAKOTA112022
DaytonWYOMING102025
DickinsonNORTH-DAKOTA92025
CusterSOUTH-DAKOTA92025
Reed PointMONTANA82025
RevaSOUTH-DAKOTA82025
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA62025
Cedar PassSOUTH-DAKOTA62025
CrookstonNEBRASKA52025
WebsterMONTANA42025
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA42025
ZapNORTH-DAKOTA42024
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA42025
GolvaNORTH-DAKOTA42025
VolunteerSOUTH-DAKOTA42025
RecluseWYOMING42022
KayceeWYOMING42024
RoyMONTANA32024
St Xavier 2MONTANA32023
WinifredMONTANA32023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.