BirdAnalyst
Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Elegant Trogon Population Trend in Arizona

All statesGeneralists

Elegant Trogon in Arizona has fallen sharply: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1980.

-68%Since 1980
4Routes In State
23Years

Notable Elegant Trogon Trends in Arizona

long arc declinecomputed index

Elegant Trogon has fallen sharply in Arizona: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1980.

Elegant Trogon Population Forecast in Arizona

If the recent trend holds, Elegant Trogon in Arizona is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.00Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.0895% range
±75.9%Backtest error
19772028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.010.000.09
20250.010.000.09
20260.010.000.09
20270.010.000.08
20280.000.000.08

Elegant Trogon Survey Routes in Arizona

Routes recording Elegant Trogon in Arizona.
Patagonia220192007
Sunizona 2120062005
Portal120231977
Peña Blanca120091998

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.