BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Meadowlark In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainGrassland birds

Eastern Meadowlark in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has collapsed: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-88%Since 1968
86Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Meadowlark has collapsed in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±155.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.295% range
±155.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.005.2
20260.000.005.2
20270.000.005.2
20280.000.005.2
20290.000.005.2

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Eastern Meadowlark in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
N VictoryNEW-YORK341972
SheridanNEW-YORK162024
PittsfieldOHIO162024
AkeleyPENNSYLVANIA151979
LattasburgOHIO132024
FowlerNEW-YORK121968
WaddingtonNEW-YORK121998
ArgyleNEW-YORK112024
OgdensburgNEW-YORK112024
GarrettsvileOHIO111991
HarmonsburgPENNSYLVANIA112023
E YoungstownNEW-YORK102023
WatertownNEW-YORK102012
ClintonNEW-YORK102010
PhiladelphiaNEW-YORK102024
LucerneOHIO102024
West BangorNEW-YORK91999
MaysvilleOHIO92012
BranchportNEW-YORK72024
NashvilleNEW-YORK72018
PulaskiNEW-YORK72024
CloverPENNSYLVANIA72024
Ferris CrnrsPENNSYLVANIA72024
TeeplevillePENNSYLVANIA72024
DuanesburgNEW-YORK62024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.