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Species · Wyoming · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Dusky Grouse Population Trend in Wyoming

All statesGeneralists

Dusky Grouse in Wyoming has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1993.

-65%Since 1993TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
18YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Dusky Grouse Trends in WyomingNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Dusky Grouse has fallen sharply in Wyoming: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1993.

Dusky Grouse Population Forecast in Wyoming

If the recent trend holds, Dusky Grouse in Wyoming is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.05). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±122.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±122.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Dusky Grouse in Wyoming is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.05). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±122.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19892029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.010.000.05
20260.010.000.05
20270.010.000.05
20280.010.000.05
20290.000.000.05

Dusky Grouse Survey Routes in Wyoming

Routes recording Dusky Grouse in Wyoming.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Savery719891989
Bald Mtn220021999
Fiddler Lk220102001
Anchor219931993
Hunter Peak120081998
Moose120242023
Yellowstone120051991
Alpine120212007
Horse Creek119931993
Savery 2120142007
Mammoth120232023

Dusky Grouse Population Trend in Other States

arizonacoloradoidahomontananevadanew-mexicooregonutahwashington

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.