Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Dusky Flycatcher In Northern Pacific Rainforest
Dusky Flycatcher in Northern Pacific Rainforest has declined: down 40% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-40%Since 1970
55Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Dusky Flycatcher in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Dusky Flycatcher in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 384% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.71 (95% range 0.02–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±229.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+384%Change by 2029
0.71Projected 2029 index
0.02–1.495% range
±229.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.72 | 0.03 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.72 | 0.03 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.72 | 0.03 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.71 | 0.02 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.71 | 0.02 | 1.4 |
Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest
| Pilot Creek | CALIFORNIA | 19 | 1996 |
| Dirigio | CALIFORNIA | 17 | 2014 |
| South Fork Mtn | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 2022 |
| Mccloud | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 2021 |
| Carrville | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 1970 |
| French Gulch | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2010 |
| Mt Shasta | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2019 |
| Lonesome Rdg | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2014 |
| Elk Lake | OREGON | 4 | 2024 |
| Friday Ridge | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Sams Valley | OREGON | 3 | 2013 |
| Emigrant Lake 2 | OREGON | 3 | 2023 |
| Neilton | WASHINGTON | 3 | 1975 |
| Hullville | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2019 |
| Rio Dell | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2001 |
| Shasta Lake | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1977 |
| Korbel | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2001 |
| Big Flat | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2014 |
| Gazelle | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2019 |
| Cool Camp | OREGON | 2 | 2010 |
| Clearwater | OREGON | 2 | 2021 |
| Ruch | OREGON | 2 | 2023 |
| Selma | OREGON | 2 | 2024 |
| Prospect | OREGON | 2 | 2002 |
| Molalla | OREGON | 2 | 2019 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.