BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Dusky Flycatcher In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesAerial insectivores

Dusky Flycatcher in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1978.

17×Since 1978
29Routes In Region
47Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Dusky Flycatcher has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1978.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Dusky Flycatcher in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 38% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.82–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+38%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
0.82–2.595% range
±60.6%Backtest error
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.50.712.4
20261.60.742.4
20271.60.772.4
20281.60.792.5
20291.70.822.5

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Dusky Flycatcher in Badlands and Prairies.
Maynard CouleeMONTANA402024
RochfordSOUTH-DAKOTA192018
Elk MountainSOUTH-DAKOTA182001
Moskee 3WYOMING182024
Hill CitySOUTH-DAKOTA152013
NorbeckSOUTH-DAKOTA122001
SundanceWYOMING112024
Moskee 2WYOMING102021
MoskeeWYOMING72001
HazelrodtSOUTH-DAKOTA62024
Black FoxSOUTH-DAKOTA52017
Long DrawSOUTH-DAKOTA52024
Lightning CrSOUTH-DAKOTA42022
Reed PointMONTANA22021
Pleasant ValSOUTH-DAKOTA22023
EnglewoodSOUTH-DAKOTA22021
Wind Cave NpSOUTH-DAKOTA22023
HighwoodMONTANA12024
LeroyMONTANA12011
JordanMONTANA12018
Two DotMONTANA12024
IngomarMONTANA12024
BrandenbergMONTANA11976
Bull Mtn.MONTANA12019
CusterSOUTH-DAKOTA12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.