Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Double-crested Cormorant In Badlands and Prairies
Double-crested Cormorant in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1969.
12×Since 1969
54Routes In Region
53Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Double-crested Cormorant has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Double-crested Cormorant in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 0.89 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.70 (95% range 0.00–1.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-21%Change by 2029
0.70Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.895% range
±52.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
| 2027 | 0.69 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
| 2028 | 0.69 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
| 2029 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
Routes In Badlands and Prairies
| Two Dot | MONTANA | 50 | 2024 |
| Soda Well | WYOMING | 17 | 1981 |
| Oglala Nat. Grass. | NEBRASKA | 12 | 2019 |
| Hayes | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 9 | 2001 |
| Lacreek | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 9 | 2022 |
| Crookston | NEBRASKA | 7 | 2019 |
| Golva | NORTH-DAKOTA | 6 | 2019 |
| Ardmore | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 6 | 2015 |
| Roundup | MONTANA | 5 | 2019 |
| Glen Ullin | NORTH-DAKOTA | 5 | 2000 |
| Chamberlain | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 5 | 2011 |
| Ft Thompson | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 5 | 2011 |
| Forsyth | MONTANA | 3 | 2004 |
| St Xavier | MONTANA | 3 | 1993 |
| Wheat Basin | MONTANA | 3 | 2024 |
| Ft Yates | NORTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 1986 |
| Dickinson | NORTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2004 |
| Laplant | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 1999 |
| Kaycee | WYOMING | 3 | 2024 |
| Savage | MONTANA | 2 | 1987 |
| Albion | MONTANA | 2 | 1993 |
| Tobacco | NORTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 1993 |
| Bowman | NORTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2018 |
| Gorham | NORTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2016 |
| Lodgepole | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2019 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.