Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Double-crested Cormorant In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Double-crested Cormorant in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1978.
13×Since 1978
25Routes In Region
44Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Double-crested Cormorant has surged in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1978.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Double-crested Cormorant in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to fall about 28% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.89 (95% range 0.15–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-28%Change by 2029
0.89Projected 2029 index
0.15–1.695% range
±74%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.81 | 0.07 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 0.82 | 0.09 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 0.84 | 0.11 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 0.86 | 0.13 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 0.89 | 0.15 | 1.6 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Guffey | COLORADO | 158 | 2024 |
| Tarryall | COLORADO | 13 | 2023 |
| Aneth | UTAH | 10 | 2008 |
| Stillwater Pass | COLORADO | 7 | 2009 |
| Sybille Cyn | WYOMING | 6 | 2013 |
| Animas 2 | COLORADO | 3 | 2021 |
| Doyleville | COLORADO | 2 | 2003 |
| Brookhurst | WYOMING | 2 | 2022 |
| Harmony | COLORADO | 1 | 2008 |
| Dolores | COLORADO | 1 | 1984 |
| Walden | COLORADO | 1 | 2024 |
| Cortez | COLORADO | 1 | 2007 |
| San Luis | COLORADO | 1 | 2021 |
| Deadman Rd. | COLORADO | 1 | 2010 |
| De Beque | COLORADO | 1 | 2012 |
| Antonito | COLORADO | 1 | 1999 |
| Gold Hill | COLORADO | 1 | 2006 |
| Cortez 2 | COLORADO | 1 | 2009 |
| Farmington | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 1977 |
| Dulce | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2022 |
| Jensen | UTAH | 1 | 2011 |
| Dixie Nf | UTAH | 1 | 2008 |
| Moab | UTAH | 1 | 2017 |
| Kamas | UTAH | 1 | 2022 |
| Buford | WYOMING | 1 | 1998 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.